Kiran Asso Pvt. Ltd.

Mr. Harshad Borawake

Head of Research & Fund Manager - Equity, Mirae Asset Mutual Fund

Mr. Harshad Borawake joined Mirae Asset Mutual Fund in December 2016 as the Head of Research. Along with strengthening the overall research and investment processes, his core coverage sectors include Financials, Oil & Gas and Economy.

He has an overall professional experience of more than 19 years across industries like Financials, Oil & Gas, Logistics and Aviation. Prior to joining Mirae Asset, he was with Motilal Oswal Securities as Vice President (Research) and Capmetrics & Risk Solutions as Research Analyst - Equity. Mr. Borawake is a Bachelor in Engineering and has done MBA in Finance.

Mr. Borawake manages Mirae Asset Aggressive Hybrid Fund, Mirae Asset Balanced Advantage Fund, Mirae Asset Equity Savings Fund & Mirae Asset Multi Asset Allocation Fund.

Q1. The current geopolitical and trade developments-including the recent 50% tariff by the U.S. on Indian imports, and talk of broader tariffs on sectors like pharma-have added a layer of uncertainty. How should Indian investors interpret these global headwinds while continuing their long-term equity investment plans?

Ans: The tariff issue is very fluid and given that negotiations are underway, we have not seen the end of it. Nevertheless, India’s exposure in terms of goods exports to US is ~2% and hence not that meaningful. Indian economy is largely inward looking economy and investors should focus more on the corporate earnings growth. After dismal sub 2% growth for Nifty 50 in Fy25, earnings revival is expected in FY26 led by tax incentives, RBI infused liquidity, good monsoon, festive season and base effect. Given the valuations, investors should temper down the return expectation in the near term, while continue to remain invested from medium to long term perspective and growth levers for Indian earnings continue to remain strong.

Q2. On the domestic front, we’ve seen persistent FII outflows despite relatively strong macro fundamentals. What are the key factors driving this trend, and should retail investors be concerned-or see this as a contrarian signal?

Ans: FII inflow and outflows are driven by multiple factors including relative valuations of India and other competing economies. With the strong domestic flows now led by SIPs the impact of FII flows now impacts relatively less than few years back. Investors should focus more on corporate earnings growth and valuations than these factors.

Q3. With market valuations varying across segments, where do you see better risk-adjusted opportunities for SIP investors today-large caps, midcaps, or small caps?

Ans: It is better to take a basket approach with large part 60-65% towards large cap and the rest in mid and small cap.

Q4. For investors considering momentum or factor-based strategies, what performance metrics beyond historical returns should they closely monitor?

Ans: Any Factor investing will expose you to the risk of cyclicity. Rather than relying solely on single factors, we recommend combining momentum or any other factor with contrasting factor as part of your portfolio. While evaluating any factor, key is to understand the methodology of the factor investment, looking not only return and risk but also focusing on rolling return specially percentage of periods the strategy outperforms its benchmark, showing persistence. Downside deviation and Sortino Ratio and Information Ratio will also be key along with Upside and downside capture ratio. Evaluate factor investing from long-term investment horizon and framework i.e. at least 5 Yr + is critical. Lastly, suitability of each factor investment based on risk and return framework of individual client is essentially. For example, for you can give momentum from large mid universe and give momentum from Mid Small universe as well.

Q5. A widely cited and persistent concern among investors is the challenge active funds face in consistently outperforming their benchmarks, especially after fees. How do you address this common perception, and what specific characteristics of your investment philosophy or process do you believe give your fund a sustainable edge to generate alpha over the long term?

Ans: Perform in the near term can be volatile, but over the long term, history suggests that the median performance of the active funds is relatively better than the benchmark performance. The basic tenets for a sound portfolio include bottom up stock piking based on fundamentals, management quality and valuations along with barbell approach wherein we have combination of growth as well as value names. Out philosophy is centered around buying good quality business upto a reasonable valuation, backed by strong management and holding them for the long term. Also, while all the stocks come from a bottom up stock picking process, we also keep cognizance of the benchmark while building the portfolios.

Q6. Could you please provide your analysis of the Q1 earnings season and outline your expectations for Q2, specifically highlighting how you are factoring in the current global macroeconomic tailwinds?

Ans: This earnings season has been marginally better than expected on the headline numbers are concerned with numbers coming marginally ahead of estimates. (on back of Construction materials, financials, metals & minings, Autos). As said earlier, we expect consumption piece in the economy to review in the 2H and from the Q2 results perspective, we would more watch out for management commentary than the actual results to get sense on the overall earning revival trajectory.

Note: Views provided above are based on information in the public domain and subject to change. Investors are requested to consult their mutual fund distributor for any investment decisions.

MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, READ ALL SCHEME RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY

Please note we have published the answers as it is received from the Fund Manager of Mirae Asset.

Mr. Mahendra Kumar Jajoo

Chief Investment Officer - Fixed Income, Mirae Asset Mutual Fund

Mr. Mahendra Kumar Jajoo is responsible for managing fixed income assets across all products. He has over 31 years of experience in the field of financial services including 17 years of experience in Fixed Income funds management.

He is overall responsible for supervising all Debt schemes of the Mirae Asset Investment Managers (India) Private Limited.

In his prior assignment, he has been associated with organizations like Pramerica Asset Managers Pvt. Ltd., Tata Asset Management Ltd., ABN AMRO Asset Management Ltd and ICICI Group.

Mr. Jajoo manages Mirae Asset Aggressive Hybrid Fund, Mirae Asset Balanced Advantage Fund, Mirae Asset Equity Savings Fund & Mirae Asset Nifty SDL Jun 2028 Index Fund.

Q1. The RBI has kept the repo rate unchanged, as widely expected, even as inflation projections have softened and global uncertainties-like new tariff threats and evolving Fed policy-persist. How do you interpret the central bank’s stance, and what signals should investors be watching from both the RBI and the US Fed in the months ahead?

Ans: RBI indicates that the current fall in inflation is already factored in it front loaded 50bps rate cut in June. While domestic factors suggest scope for incremental rate cuts in India, the global factors are somewhat uncertain.

Fed is also concerned with tariff related inflation and steeper yield curve with dwindling demand for US treasuries.

Investors may watch for any change in stance on these issues by the respective banks.

Q2. Beyond the RBI's policy, what are the key domestic and global macroeconomic trends that you believe are currently shaping the Indian bond markets? Where do you see the most significant tailwinds and headwinds?

Ans: Dwindling demand for US govt bonds is the most significant headwind for now for Indian bonds, not allowing further fall. RBI has already frontloaded rate cuts and has injected massive liquidity in the system recently. Further, domestic macro remains supportive for lower rates providing tailwinds.

Q3. How do you define your investment philosophy as a fund manager, and how has your strategy evolved over the past 12–18 months?

Ans: At Mirae, FMs keep analyzing the evolving scenario on a continuous basis and construct portfolio in line with the expected market outlook and the fund’s investment objectives. If the rates outlook is positive, FMs would likely be overweight and vice-versa. The strategy has worked well and is inherently dynamic.

Q4. What role can target maturity funds (TMFs) play in an investor’s portfolio today, especially in light of expected stability or mild downward movement in rates?

Ans: TMFs is a product, closest to an FD but with very significant additional advantage for the investors. It offers for all practical purposes a free put option to the investors. That’s to say, if the market is adverse, the investor can hold the investments like any other FD/FMP without much fear of any terminal capital loss. However, if the market is favorable, investor may cash out capital gains at a time of his choosing.

Q5. Geopolitical tensions globally have often pushed investors toward the safety of bonds. Are you seeing any such shift in sentiment or flows toward Indian fixed income assets?

Ans: At the moment, markets seem to price in the confidence that the ongoing geopolitical tensions would dissolve eventually without much negative impact. At this point, one has not seen any defensive shift towards fixed income

Q6. In the current environment of macro uncertainty, what broad investment strategy would you advise for debt mutual fund investors-especially those in low- to moderate-risk profiles?

Ans: Follow an accrual-oriented strategy for now. The best time for duration strategy has just crossed behind. Money market curve is relatively steep offering options in the low duration and money market category

Note: Views provided above are based on information in the public domain and subject to change. Investors are requested to consult their mutual fund distributor for any investment decisions.

MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, READ ALL SCHEME RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY

Please note we have published the answers as it is received from the Fund Manager of Mirae Asset.

Mr. Shreyash Devalkar

Head - Equity, Axis Mutual Fund

With a rich experience of over two decades in the equity markets, Shreyash Devalkar is the Head – Equity at Axis AMC. He joined in 2016 as a Fund Manager and was elevated to the role in 2023. He manages some of the flagship funds at Axis AMC such as the Axis Bluechip Fund, Axis Midcap Fund, Axis ELSS Tax Saver Fund, Axis Growth Opportunities Fund, and a few more.

Prior to joining Axis AMC, he was associated with BNP Paribas AMC as a Fund Manager for more than 5 years. He has also worked as a Research Analyst at IDFC Asset Management Company (July 2008 to Jan 2011) and IDFC Securities (Sept 2005 to July 2008).

Qualification:- Chemical Engineering from UDCT, MMS Finance from JBIMS

Q1. How do you interpret the current domestic macro tailwinds in the context of ongoing global uncertainties? In your view, how is the market navigating and balancing these contrasting forces?

Ans:- In the last 3-4 months, we have witnessed markets post a sharp recovery with returns ranging above 18%-25%. FIIs returning to equities, consistent inflows from DIIs, relatively attractive valuations were the key reasons for the surge in equities. The triggers going ahead will be how the tariff scenario unfolds for India on relative basis compared to competing countries in respective goods and the ongoing earnings season. If we look at the macro factors, we stand supported by surplus liquidity and lower interest rates, our twin deficits are in control, inflation is well below RBI’s target and growth seems reasonable. Stability in currency and low inflation may offer some room for further rate cut.

Q2. With the June quarter earnings season now underway, how do you assess the performance outlook for India Inc. this quarter?

Ans:- We believe that this quarter could be in line with expectations, because earnings expectation are already cut across. Overall, the growth is still expected to be in single digits. At a sector level, banks may face a drag from NIMS given falling interest rates, automobile sector is expected to stay subdued while the pharma segment could report decent growth. Consumption companies have been a pain point however going forward this could improve if consumption rebounds. Industrials and manufacturing could do better than market expectations.

Q3. Foreign institutional investors haven’t fully returned to Indian markets yet - in your view, is it valuations or earnings that are holding them back?

Ans:- It’s a combination of two things. Higher valuations led to FIIs moving back and returning when valuations turned better, and interest rate differential compared to US. Although not out of the woods, earnings selectively may turn out to be better than expected. We believe markets are in a phase where we could see some fair amount of volatility and push and pullback from the FIIs.

Q4. We've seen a surge in new products, categories, and investment avenues. Has this led to a ‘problem of plenty’ for investors? And could passive investing offer a way to simplify decision-making?

Ans:- We believe that different investors have different choices, some choose active funds for the alpha, while other may want to just invest in passive funds for their simplicity. As markets mature, new opportunities arise and I believe investors should explore new avenues of investing. Spreading assets across products, categories and avenues can provide investors an immense wealth creation journey.

Q5. How should investors position themselves in the small and mid-cap segment? Are we seeing a meaningful improvement in profitability relative to large caps based on current data?

Ans:- Although large-cap stocks have gained favor in recent months following the sharp correction, I always believe in being invested across the market capitalisation. Many large-cap companies have shown relatively modest growth in the current cycle, making their valuations more reasonable compared to pre-COVID levels. On the other hand, sectors such as defense, power capex, tourism, and EMS are experiencing strong growth, but valuations in these areas are quite elevated. These themes are more prominently represented in mid- and small-cap segments. Therefore, it’s advisable for investors to stay invested across the market cap spectrum. However, stock selection remains critical-simply allocating across asset classes may not be enough to generate superior returns.

Q6. As a fund manager, how do you determine the right time to exit a sector-especially when it remains in favour but the fundamentals appear to be weakening?

Ans:- When fundamentals are weakening on relative basis - both in the context of valuations and compared to other sectors, it is generally time to reduce exposure, we follow this principal across market cycles.

Please note we have published the answers as it is received from the Fund Manager of Axis.

Mr. Devang Shah

Head – Fixed Income India, Axis Mutual Fund

Devang Shah is the Head of Fixed Income at Axis AMC. He joined the fund house in 2012 as a Fund Manager and was elevated to the position of Head – Fixed Income in 2024.

He has over two decades of industry experience of which, 18 years have been spent in the Mutual Fund industry. His core responsibilities include managing top quartile performance for all Fixed Income Funds & managing client relationship. Additionally, he has been actively involved in ideation and determining the investment strategy for fixed income funds.

Prior to joining Axis AMC, he was associated with ICICI Prudential AMC (2008-2012) as a Fund Manager and was also the head of credit. He has also worked with Deutsche AMC and PwC.

Educational Qualification: B.Com from Mumbai University and a Gold Medallist in Financial Management, Associate Member of ICAI

Q1. Given rising global uncertainty-from the Israel-Iran tensions to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war-how should fixed income investors position themselves to manage risks around global inflation, volatile oil prices, and shifts in safe-haven flows?

Ans: Geopolitical conflicts have been on the rise in the last few years. The unfortunate part is one cannot control these external risks. This is where investors can diversify their asset allocation and participate in fixed income funds. The start of the rate cycle proved beneficial for long duration funds. However, I believe now is the time to participate in short term funds and these can outperform long bonds from risk risk-reward perspective due to a shallow rate cut cycle, lower OMO purchases in the second half of the year and a shift in focus to Govt Debt to GDP targets.

Q2. With the RBI’s recent 50 bps rate cut, how do you interpret the central bank’s message to the market? Do you see this move as a pre-emptive easing to support growth, and how might it reshape fixed income strategies going forward?

Ans: The 50 bps repo rate cut was larger than expected but the change in stance to neutral and the CRR cut was a surprise for the markets. The central bank has been proactively managing liquidity and had already announced measures so there were no expectations on this front from the policy. I had been of the view that this current cycle would be shallow and that’s exactly how the cycle played out. The central bank is definitely prioritising growth while inflation is well under control. As indicated in most of our communication pieces, a significant part of the bond market rally is behind us and there would be limited rate cuts and that too if we see weaker growth. Rates will stay lower for longer. I expect macro indicators like GDP, CPI to remain soft for FY26. Consequently, there is nothing that can lead to significant upside in yields. I expect 1-5-year corporate bonds to rally and outperform long bonds on a risk reward perspective.

Q3. The RBI has recently discontinued daily Variable Rate Repo (VRR) auctions in light of a ₹3 lakh crore liquidity surplus. How do you interpret this move, and what does it signal about the RBI’s evolving liquidity stance and its potential impact on short-term rates?

Ans: The central bank had introduced daily VRR auctions on January 16, 2025, to address temporary liquidity tightness caused by tax-related outflows and foreign exchange interventions. However, with liquidity conditions now easing, the RBI is shifting its focus to stabilising overnight money market rates, which have been trending lower due to excess funds in the system.

We believe that these daily VRR are not the need of the hour and there is enough liquidity in the system.

Q4. India’s 10-year benchmark yield is currently around 6.31% as of July 15th. How are you positioning your portfolio across the curve in this environment? Are there specific segments-short, medium, or long-that offer better value at current levels?

Ans: After the larger-than-expected repo rate cut, shift to neutral stance from accommodative and unexpected CRR cut, markets remain in neutral. Liquidity remains abundant and we do not anticipate further cuts in the next 3-6 months. Analyzing macro data, lower GDP, softer CPI, lower for longer rates and abundant liquidity, we expect 1-5-year corporate bonds to rally and outperform long bonds on a risk reward perspective and foresee a limited rally in government bonds going forward. In fact we have shifted our allocation from higher government bonds to higher corporate bonds.

Q5. The RBI has revised its inflation projection from 4% to 3.7%. In your view, does it create room for more policy easing in the coming quarters?

Ans: As against the central banks inflation projection, headline inflation is already at 2.1% and I do not expect it to remain lower at this level for long. I believe that the RBI has frontloaded the interest rate cuts for this cycle; rates will remain low, and liquidity will remain abundant. While inflation projection for Q1CY26 is above 4%, we believe that unless we see big growth shocks there will be limited room for easing.

Q6. In your opinion, what could be the key triggers that might lead the RBI to consider another rate cut in the near term?

Ans: As mentioned earlier, I do not foresee further rate cuts in this year. However if the RBI was to cut rates it would be on account of a large slowdown in growth.

Note: Views provided above are based on information in the public domain and subject to change. Investors are requested to consult their mutual fund distributor for any investment decisions.

Please note we have published the answers as it is received from the Fund Manager of Axis.

Mr. Marzban Irani

Chief Investment Officer – Fixed Income, LIC Mutual Fund

Mr. Marzban Irani is our debt market expert having rich experience of 25 years in Fixed Income. He has played a pivotal role in building LICMF’s image of Mutual Fund of investor’s choice for Debt funds. Mr Irani is a PGDBM - Chetana’s Institute of Management & Research, Mumbai. B.Com – Mumbai University.

Experience:

Chief Investment Officer Fixed Income - LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Ltd. (w.e.f. 24/04/2019)

Fund Manager Fixed Income - LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Ltd. (w.e.f. 04/08/2016)

VP Fixed Income - DSP BlackRock Investment Managers (Jun 2014 Jul 2016)

Senior Fund Manager Fixed Income - TATA Asset Management (Jun 2011- May 2014).

Fund Manager Fixed Income METLIFE INDIA INSURANCE (Sep 2010 May 2011)

Fund Manager Fixed Income - Mirae Asset Global Investment Mgmt India (Jan 2008 Jul 2010)

Fund Manager Fixed Income TATA Asset Management (Sep 2000- Nov 2007)

Q1. May 2025 witnessed one of the year's strongest net FPI (Foreign Portfolio Investor) inflows. What could be the reasons behind this surge?

Ans 1. Debt inflow was only 1100 cr.

Q2. How do you interpret the RBI's recent repo rate and CRR cuts? Do you believe the RBI has strategically frontloaded these measures, anticipating a surplus liquidity situation that might require further rate adjustments closer to Q4 FY26?

Ans 2. In the June 2025 policy the RBI has cut the repo by 50 bps. When the rate cut cycle started, the cut expectation was lower. In the rising interest rate scenario, the domestic rate hikes were limited unlike the US where the rates went up from almost 0 to 5%. Hence the leeway to cut was limited. Domestic inflation has bottomed out. Going ahead, there are geo- political risks. Ukraine Russia war is not yet over, the recent Iran Israel conflict is on and India has had a short war with Pakistan. Monsoon which was expected to be normal has been below expectations in the month of June. We would know by august how the monsoon has fared like spatial distribution etc. Oil prices have moved up and India being a net importer of oil has to be watchful. All these factors may pose an upside risk to inflation. Going ahead, global growth is a challenge. Also private capex needs to come up. Consumption needs a boost. Hence between growth and inflation tradeoff , the growth numbers needed a push. Hence, this was a good decision from RBI to cut rates on a proactive basis. As far as CRR is concerned, as we move into the busy season, at the time of advance tax outflow/GST outflow there can be liquidity mismatch temporarily. Hence infusion via CRR may help to balance out liquidity.

Q3. The RBI's shift from an accommodative to a neutral stance has surprised many. What do you believe is the rationale behind this change, and how do you anticipate it will impact the RBI's future projections?

Ans 3. The leeway to cut is limited. Accommodative stance indicates a cut or a pause. As the leeway to cut is not visible in the immediate future, the neutral stance was announced. As far as liquidity is concerned RBI has ensured ample liquidity with a preemptive CRR cut especially during the festive season which would help in further transmission of the rate cuts. RBI may continue to be data dependent especially on the geo political front and guidance by FED.

Q4. What does rise in US Bond Yields mean for Indian markets? Could this lead to a rotation from equities to bonds, as seen historically?

Ans 4. Decoupling has been happening in the last few years. Spread which was around 500 bps has now shrunk to around 150 bps. DE dollarization is the key thing. China has reduced US treasury holding and central banks are shifting gradually to gold reserves. Today the dollar is the reserve currency but going ahead it might lose this position. What will matter for rates in India is the stability of currency which has been largely impacted currently by the geo political scenario rather than US rates.

Q5. Are you observing a growing investor preference for Debt + Arbitrage funds? How do you assess their suitability in the current market environment?

Ans 5. From a tax perspective this product is looking good at the moment. Volatility is less. However, investors should choose to invest based on their investment horizon and risk appetite.

Q6. What factors do you anticipate will drive the Indian fixed income market in 2025?

Ans 6. In the last three years starting July 2022 where the yields almost peaked, investors in fixed income have been getting capital appreciation besides regular accrual. As we move ahead capital appreciation looks limited or flat. Hence it will be an accrual strategy. Hence investors with fixed income allocation should stick to their allocation. It’s a cycle which will change. The fiscal deficit number has been declining. The government is following a prudent path. This might lead to a global rating upgrade going ahead.

Please note we have published the answers as it is received from the Fund Manager of LIC.

Note: Views provided above are based on information in the public domain and subject to change. Investors are requested to consult their mutual fund distributor for any investment decisions.

Source: RBI, Bloomberg.

Disclaimer: The views expressed herein are based on internal data, publicly available information and other sources believed to be reliable. Any calculations made are approximations, meant as guidelines only, which you must confirm before relying on them. The information contained in this document is for general purposes only. The document is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. The document does not have regard to specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this document. The information / data herein alone are not sufficient and should not be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. The statements contained herein are based on our current views and involve known and unknown risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance, or event to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Ltd. / LIC Mutual Fund is not guaranteeing / offering / communicating any indicative yield on investment made in the scheme(s). Neither LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Ltd. and LIC Mutual Fund (the fund) nor any person connected with them, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients before acting on any information herein should make his/her/their own investigation and seek appropriate professional advice and shall alone be fully responsible / liable for any decision taken on the basis of information contained herein.

MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, READ ALL SCHEME RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY

Mr. Nikhil Rungta

Chief Investment Officer - Equity, LIC Mutual Fund

Mr. Nikhil Rungta is a seasoned investment professional with extensive experience in managing diverse investment portfolios. He has a track record of developing and implementing successful investment strategies and also has demonstrated ability to conduct comprehensive market analysis and identify investment opportunities. Mr. Rungta is a Rank holder Chartered Accountant, MBA (Finance)-NMIMS, FRM (GARP) and also has Sustainable Investing Certificate issued by CFA Institute.

Experience:

Co - CIO- Equity, LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Ltd. (w.e.f. 19th June 2024)

Fund Manager (Equity)-SBI Pension Funds Private Limited (w.e.f. 29th April 2024 31st May 2024)

CIO- Equity, Golden Myriad (Garware Group Family Office) (21st November 2023- 4th April 2024)

Co-Fund Manager and Research Analyst - Nippon India Mutual Fund (25th March 2019- 20th November 2023)

Investment Manager and Research Head- BFSI - Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company (10th March 2016- 22nd March 2019)

Lead Analyst- BFSI Sector- Anand Rathi Shares & Stock Brokers Limited (16th February 2015- 29th February 2016)

Equity Research Analyst- Standard Chartered Securities (India) Limited (27th September 2012- 8th February 2015)

Equity Research Analyst- Religare Capital Markets Limited (19th October 2010- 21st September 2012)

Q1. The RBI lowered its FY26 inflation forecast to 3.7%, what are your thoughts on this?

Ans 1. The RBI’s revised inflation forecast to 3.7% reflects a combination of softening global commodity prices, easing food inflation, and better supply chain dynamics. This moderation is crucial, especially after the prolonged phase of sticky core inflation over the past couple of years. For markets, this opens up a more stable policy environment, reducing the odds of further tightening and reinforcing the “higher-for-longer” but stable rate regime. It’s also a positive for rate-sensitive sectors like financials, autos, and real estate. While there isn’t any expectation of further immediate rate cuts, the RBI’s stance is increasingly data-dependent - which gives markets room to focus on earnings growth rather than macro risk.

Q2. Given the substantial rise in mutual fund cash allocations (Rs 17,300 crore to Rs 2.23 lakh crore) during April, do you similarly advocate or practice a strategy of utilizing market dips for entry?

Ans 2. Yes, elevated cash levels are not a sign of indecision but of strategic patience. In our view, such liquidity is often a reflection of disciplined fund managers choosing to wait for better valuations - especially in a market where pockets of froth exist. We remain valuation-conscious and continue to follow a staggered deployment strategy. We prefer to use short-term corrections to increase exposure to fundamentally strong businesses, particularly where earnings are visible and margin improvement is likely. Market dips are less about timing and more about readiness - and our current strategy mirrors that belief.

Q3. What key 'triggers' do you anticipate will primarily influence the market's direction in the coming quarters? Specifically, could US-China trade talks or the monsoon season be those catalysts, and do you foresee a significant recovery in overall consumption?

Ans 3. Several domestic and global triggers may shape market direction in the second half of the current financial year. On the domestic front, the progress and spatial distribution of the monsoon may be pivotal - especially for rural demand and agri-input companies. A strong monsoon could lift farm incomes, thereby aiding recovery in rural consumption, which has been somewhat uneven.

Globally, developments like US-China trade normalization or even marginal de-escalation in the Red Sea corridor tensions can significantly boost global trade confidence and lower logistics costs. Additionally, clarity on the Fed’s rate trajectory and US growth stability may be crucial in guiding FII flows and risk sentiment. From a structural lens, the interplay between policy support for manufacturing, continued capex-led growth, and domestic consumption recovery may remain our core investment thesis.

Q4. Despite persistent global volatility, SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) inflows in India have demonstrated remarkable resilience. How do you interpret the underlying psychology of the Indian retail investor in this context, and do you believe this indicates a fundamental, structural shift in investment behavior?

Ans 4. Absolutely. The Indian retail investor has evolved significantly. SIP inflows touching all-time highs month after month - even amidst global volatility and market corrections - indicate a mindset shift from speculative trading to long-term wealth creation.

This behaviour is no longer event-driven but embedded in financial planning. Factors such as better access to financial products, regulatory trust in the MF framework, and digitization have made investing seamless. But beyond the tools, what stands out is the discipline - the awareness that wealth building is a marathon, not a sprint. This resilience is not temporary; it is a structural evolution that may serve as a shock absorber for Indian equity markets in volatile times.

Q5. With all the noise around geopolitical tensions and supply chains, how are you shaping your global macro view and sector preferences?

Ans 5. While geopolitical events like the ongoing conflict in the Middle East or US-China decoupling do create intermittent noise, our investment lens remains focused on India’s relative macro stability and bottom-up sectoral opportunities.

In an environment of fragmented global supply chains, India is emerging as a credible alternative - both for manufacturing and services. As a result, we’re structurally overweight on themes like Make in India, defense indigenization, and import substitution. At the same time, we remain selective in global-facing sectors - especially IT and pharma where margin pressures and order visibility are key variables. The idea is to maintain sectoral balance, backed by earnings clarity and cost leadership.

Q6. Considering the entry of new players, ongoing fee compression, and heightened retail awareness, how do you envision the evolution of the mutual fund industry over the next few years?

Ans 6. The mutual fund industry in India is entering a phase of maturity - with both opportunity and responsibility. On one hand, rising financial awareness, increased digital adoption, and policy nudges are driving deeper penetration, particularly in semi-urban and rural areas. On the other, fee compression and performance scrutiny are intensifying the need for innovation and differentiation.

The next phase is likely to be marked by broader product innovation - from passive funds and smart-beta strategies to thematic and ESG offerings and Specialised Investment Funds (SIFs). Distributors and investors are both becoming more informed, which will demand a shift from mere distribution to need based engagement. For asset managers the focus will be on enhancing investor experience, simplifying communication, and delivering consistent outcomes. Scale and trust may be the true differentiators.

Q7. Given the rising valuations in specific market segments, what's your approach to optimizing risk-adjusted returns across different sectors?

Ans 7. Rising valuations are a natural byproduct of optimism, but they also require caution. Our approach is anchored in relative valuation discipline and fundamental strength. Earnings growth versus price expansion are constantly assessed - and where the gap widens disproportionately, efforts are made to reduce the exposure.

Sectorally, a blend of growth and stability is preferred. Manufacturing, industrials, and utilities offer visibility with policy tailwinds, while select pockets in BFSI and consumption offer scope for margin expansion. We also use cash tactically to navigate market excesses. Ultimately, it’s about building portfolios that can perform not just in momentum phases but also withstand mean-reversion periods.

Please note we have published the answers as it is received from the Fund Manager of LIC.

Note: Views provided above are based on information in the public domain and subject to change. Investors are requested to consult their mutual fund distributor for any investment decisions.Source: RBI, Bloomberg.

Disclaimer: The views expressed herein are based on internal data, publicly available information and other sources believed to be reliable. Any calculations made are approximations, meant as guidelines only, which you must confirm before relying on them. The information contained in this document is for general purposes only. The document is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. The document does not have regard to specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this document. The information / data herein alone are not sufficient and should not be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. The statements contained herein are based on our current views and involve known and unknown risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance, or event to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Ltd. / LIC Mutual Fund is not guaranteeing / offering / communicating any indicative yield on investment made in the scheme(s). Neither LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Ltd. and LIC Mutual Fund (the fund) nor any person connected with them, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients before acting on any information herein should make his/her/their own investigation and seek appropriate professional advice and shall alone be fully responsible / liable for any decision taken on the basis of information contained herein.

MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, READ ALL SCHEME RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY

Mr. Charanjit Singh

Assistant Vice President - Equity, DSP Mutual Fund

Charanjit has a total work experience of over 16 years. He joined DSP Mutual Fund in September 2018 as Assistant Vice President in Equity Team. Charanjit has also worked with B&K Securities, Axis Capital, BNP Paribas Securities, Thomas Weisel Partners, HSBC, IDC Corp and Frost & Sullivan. He is a MBA in Finance and also holds a B.Tech in Electronics and Communication.

Q1. Regarding Operation Sindoor news, how do you anticipate its impact on market volatility? Do you expect significant fluctuations, or will the markets likely remain range-bound given the anticipated nature of this news?

Ans 1. Operation Sindoor has fundamentally altered perceptions of India's military capabilities and regional power status, establishing a new deterrence dynamic with Pakistan and signaling India's readiness to act decisively. The operation initially triggered market volatility but markets quickly stabilized and remained range-bound, with defence stocks rallying on expectations of increased spending before some profit-taking. The government's planned Rs 50,000 crore supplementary defence budget boost and increased focus on advanced military technologies and infrastructure sectors are likely to sustain positive sectoral momentum. Overall, Operation Sindoor has created selective opportunities in defence, infrastructure, and technology sectors amid a stable market environment, reflecting investor confidence in India's strategic and economic resilience. This mirrors the historical pattern where geopolitical crises cause short-term volatility but ultimately reinforce market strength and sectoral growth in areas aligned with national priorities.

Q2. What do you consider the most significant driver of market movement this year? Will it be interest rates, commodity prices, tariffs, or something else that will primarily dictate market volatility?

Ans 2. Markets have digested the uncertainty related to global tariff wars on hopes of lesser disruption and trade agreements by major economies. However, end to global turmoil is not in sight as Chinese growth is slowing down, US interest rates are holding steady and interest rates in Japan are moving up. Overall, the scenario is ripe for another 50bps rate cut by RBI over the next 6 months, however the declining rate differential with US and other large economies is a key factor to watch out for. Conditions are ripe for domestic demand recovery given lowest food inflation (1.78%) from Nov21 and CPI (3.16%) since August 2019, Strong crop output for Kharif and Rabi in FY25 (6.8% and >3% growth), normal monsoon prediction (106% of LPA) and benefits of tax cuts.

FY26 consensus earnings forecasts have been resilient through the reporting season. There could be a possibility of earnings upgrades in H2FY26. This is driven by two factors: i) consensus has not captured the full second-order impact of monetary easing and ii) soft commodity prices could produce margin surprises across sectors. We see the strongest likelihood of upgrades in discretionary, energy and technology sectors. Strong earnings resilience should help sustain momentum in Indian equities. Valuations are now in neutral territory, with the Nifty trading at long term average on 1 year forward P/E while 30% of BSE200 stocks are trading at P/Es that are over 1 standard deviation over long term average. Valuations could overshoot if earnings momentum accelerates, especially with strong tailwinds from monetary easing. We would use any short-term correction to add to positions.

Q3. What is the current sentiment of Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) towards Indian markets? Despite recent net buying, they've withdrawn more than Rs 13,000 crore from the cash segment of Indian equity markets in April month.

Ans 3. The US-China agreement marks the passing of peak tariff pain. This tariff shock is likely to weigh on global trade/ economy. There will be rotation in to emerging markets led by reversal of US exceptionalism. This could lead to big lead to big flow out of US into the emerging markets which could be large as 1 trn USD. Over the last 4yrs FIIs sold $10bn over Apr 2021-March 2025. In last 10yrs net FII investment is almost negligible. There could be reversal of this trade someday which will lead to FII to start investing in India as a catchup trade. While India is in a better position given the limited dependence on trade, a currency competition has the potential to dent its recovery. India being a net importer will also face a depreciation dilemma many other EMs will not. Domestic macro and flows can support, but we do not anticipate FII flows to return quickly in such an environment. A fruitful trade treaty with the US will change the outlook.

Q4. Considering the recent earnings performance, the previously attractive banking and financial sector seems less compelling. In this market environment, where do you believe investors can find a significant margin of safety? If not financials, which sectors might offer promising opportunities?

Ans 4. Market concentration is rising as investors flocking to large-caps amidst correction. In previous episodes of rising concentration, defensive sectors, especially FMCG and Pharma outperformed in all episodes, whereas IT outperformed in two instances (2010-13 and 2017-20). For 2025 the quality factor could be the main investing theme which would keep consumption, pharma and IT sectors as main investing areas. While industrials could get impacted due to weaker capex growth by Central Government and slow revival in private capex. Selective sectors like Defense, Hospitals, Electronics, Capital Markets and Telecom could be also evaluated for investments based on the valuation comfort.

Q5. Given gold's recent rally to ₹1 lakh and its outperformance against equities, is the market now viewing it not only as a safe haven but also as a primary driver of returns?

Ans 5. Gold has trended lower since testing an all-time high of USD 3,500/oz on 22 April. The downward shift has been accompanied by ETP outflows and speculative positioning being scaled back, but China's demand remains supportive. Gold's rally has not been driven by a sole factor, and drivers from central bank flows to USD weakness remain supportive of further highs. While fears over the risk of recession remain and could stoke additional safe-haven demand for gold, a number of risks linger. These include: (1) slowing central bank buying; (2) de-escalation of tariff risks and increased market confidence; (3) market expectations around US rate cuts pausing or swinging to rate hikes; and (4) short-term risk from further volatility across other asset classes, leading to another liquidity rush or cash needs for margin calls, which would weigh on gold.

Q6. What's the outlook for investing in small and mid-cap stocks as we move into FY26? How should investors approach this segment?

Ans 6. Small and mid-cap stocks have experienced volatility recently, partly due to geopolitical tensions and investor rotation into thematic and sectoral funds. Looking ahead to FY26, these segments offer growth potential but come with higher risk and sensitivity to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Large caps benefiting from domestic recovery should be the focus, while SMIDs should be looked selectively where one spots fair bottom-up valuations.

Mr. Sandeep Yadav

Head - Fixed Income India, DSP Mutual Fund

Sandeep has a total work experience of more than 20 years. He joined DSP Mutual Funds in September 2021 as Senior Vice President - Fixed Income Investments. Sandeep has previously worked for Yes Bank, and had headed the Derivatives Structuring, Fixed Income Trading and Primary Dealership. Prior to that Sandeep had worked in Technology space in Cognizant Technologies, Hughes Services and Mahindra British Telecom. He is a Computer Engineer (Pune University) and PGDBM (IIM Bangalore). Sandeep is also a CFA chartered holder.

Q1. What is your assessment of the RBI's recent announcement of a ₹1.25 lakh crore liquidity infusion in May? What do you believe were the primary drivers behind the RBI's decision to lower the repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) at this juncture?

Ans 1. RBI has turned accommodative in its monetary policy looking at the growth inflation dynamics - in particular, decline in inflation, reaching a low of 3.16% in April-2025 helped shape the monetary policy view, and help support India's GDP slowdown - linked to consumption slowdown currently, but the global growth environment also remains patchy. So the RBI worked to remove liquidity deficits in banking system liquidity to enable growth - In Jan-25 durable liquidity was negative INR 45,000cr and is currently upwards of INR 3 lakh crore (and expected to increase). The expectation, basis current trends is that not only will liquidity be left on the table, but there will be further rate cuts as well.

Q2. How do you currently view the Indian fixed income market in comparison to its global counterparts? Specifically, what do you see as the most significant opportunities and unique risks for investors in Indian fixed income at this time?

Ans 2. India's fixed income market has been marching to its own beat lately and has been remarkably resilient even as global interest rates continue to rise. This is driven significantly by the domestic demand supply factors, anchored by the Government’s commitment to maintain fiscal discipline, growing financialization (growth in insurance, pension all lead to demand, besides banking system demand) and the expectations that RBI will cut rates.

The opportunities come from a relatively stable and well-orchestrated macro environment. The risks come from potential fiscal slippage - this could happen if GDP slows (lower probability) or say greater defense spending (difficult to predict). Furthermore, even as inflation is getting anchored, unpredictability of monsoons can lead to food inflation, and then on inflationary expectations. Note that India potentially may lower tariffs and lead to better inflation outcomes, different from problems elsewhere.

Q3. How do you see the Fed's current stance on inflation impacting the shape of the yield curve over the next 12 months?

Ans 3. The Fed is now on wait and watch given its dual mandate. On inflation, it is the permanence of tariff inflation and one time shocks, even as tariffs themselves are being negotiated. The Fed will also need to look at labour market developments, and whether this policy uncertainty will lead to any slow down. While they said they are currently watching, the market is busy pricing the extent of rate cuts, and all over the place!

The next important point is on term premia aka shape of the yield curve. We are at a unique time politically in the World with changes in world order. Europe needs to spend more on defense. US is betting on import substitution (we Indians know it well!) and trying to pass a bill which will increase fiscal deficit and debt/GDP. Hence the curve has steepened significantly there. So again, in as much the Fed can influence policy rates, the US curve will move to its own demand supply dynamics, including foreign demand. India continues to March to its own beat.

Q4. Are accrual strategies still attractive at this stage of the interest rate cycle, or is it time to switch to dynamic/active duration funds?

Ans 4. The choice between active and accrual strategy is not one or the other. An active strategy can, and should, actively move to the accrual strategy if it is more beneficial. The choice is eventually between accrual and capital gains (duration) strategy (rather than accrual and active).

In our active funds, we have advocated preference to capital gains (duration) over accrual for the past two years. In fact the ideal time to shift to duration strategy was a few quarters back. We may move to accrual strategy in the next few quarters when we believe that the capital gains may be behind us.

In terms of lower rated credits, it is always prudent to invest in companies with good governance, and from a mutual fund perspective, be careful of liquidity risks as well.

Q5. Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have turned net sellers of the Indian debt market, pulling out a record $2.27 billion up to April 2025. What is triggering the outflows?

Ans 5. The FPI inflow story for now has run its course with the expected passive inflows due to inclusion in JP Morgan flows. Now the FPI flows will be determined by trading interest of foreign participants, who will also be looking at opportunities elsewhere, stability of INR and geopolitical risks. This will make flows volatile and less predictable, but is still small in the context of the depth of the Indian market.

Note: Views provided above are based on information in the public domain and subject to change. Investors are requested to consult their mutual fund distributor for any investment decisions.